Author Archives: Bhavya Desai

When to bottle craft beer?

Craft beer which is available mostly in kegs is now moving to the retail shelf. A look at some of the compelling reasons.


As the craft beer demand continues to grow, the more successful craft beer produces have a happy dilemma when growing organically, is moving on from the first phase when the start-up microbrewery only kegs the beer to bottling beers. The margins created by retailing your beer instead of selling it wholesale have sustained the growth of microbreweries. This successful approach has succeeded in generating phenomenal growth in the industry.

Wholesaling only has downsides, mainly for those micro breweries that do not have their own direct chain of distribution. Those without direct distribution have struggled in the past and are the micro breweries most likely to disappear. Microbreweries without their own direct outlets are those that have tended to fail first over the years. The need to have a substantial distribution network was recognised immediately for example by BrewDog in Scotland, and Whitewater Brewery in Northern Ireland.

The important initial capital outlay required to open a microbrewery needs a rapid growth of sales and margins to sustain the business. You have to have a guaranteed high margin from your own distribution from the very start, or you will need deep pockets to sustain the start up from zero. Many of your clients will also want to enjoy their favourite beer at home or on a picnic. And you need to serve them, or they will buy their tipple from the competition. Therefore you need to satisfy this type of consumption by offering bottled beer, pretty soon after starting your brewery. Initially the quantities to be bottled are relatively modest – maybe only 500 or 1000 bottles at a time for each of your various recipes. Initially, therefore, the easy way, although an expensive way, is to contract bottle outside the premises. This seems the way to go. Contract bottling has many disadvantages and could eat into your margins because of extra logistics cost and scheduling. In-house bottling could be the solution. Bottling in-house requires generally more money than anticipated.

More and more fancy craft beer is also showing up in aluminum cans. Five years ago, just a few dozen craft brewers in the U.S. were canning, while today there are more than 500. The beer in a can cools faster. The can protects from beer-degrading light. Beer cans are portable and take up less space, advantages both for retailers and for consumers who want to take them camping, hiking or fishing. There’s also more space on a can for wraparound design and decoration.

While glass bottles take longer to cool down, they also stay cold longer once they come out of the cooler. Plus, glass producers and plenty of brewers will tell you translucent amber glass has been working fine to protect beer from light and air. The biggest selling point for the bottle, though, is flavour. There’s at least a perception that cans impart a metallic taste, whereas liquid stored in a bottle comes out tasting pure. The metal touching your lips is still a factor in terms of flavour, but most craft brewers suggest pouring out beer into a glass before sipping, whatever package it comes in. It may be coolness, or it may be convenience, but the bottom line is, cans are getting cheaper. Bottling in-house remains a simpler, cheaper process. The Brewers Association estimates just 3% of craft beer on the shelves is in a can. Sixty percent still goes out in bottles, and the rest is sold in kegs. Glass has been a very reliable package and tradition will prove itself well that glass is not going anywhere.

In India quite a few microbreweries plan to launch bottled beer brands to cash in on rising demand for India’s craft beer. So far, India has seen just a few craft beer brands such as Bira, White Owl and Simba, sold off shelves despite nearly 170 microbreweries that opened over the past decade. Karnataka government does not allow brewpubs to distribute in-house beer and are permitted to produce a maximum of just 1000 litres a day. Windmills Craftworks will start producing cans of craft beer from their newly-acquired 2000-litre production brewery in Goa. India’s craft beer industry accounts for 2-3% of the country’s beer market which is largely skewed towards the stronger version. The surge of interest in craft beer has been driven by millennials, many particularly interested in this form of beer that is more authentic, premium and has a complex flavour compared to regular lager sold by MNCs.

But making and selling craft beer at a larger scale isn’t easy. Besides licenses and distribution, brewpubs have to wrestle with cold chain supply infrastructure, short shelf-life of craft beer and smaller budgets compared to United Breweries, Ab InBev and and Carlsberg that together control 90% of the market. As a result, many are planning to roll out variants such as hefeweizen, stout and light golden ale – that can survive better in these tough conditions. And some are opting for pricier cans to package their products instead of glass bottles. Cans are lighter, unbreakable, carry more branding information, have little oxygen uptake and do not allow light to enter easily, unlike bottles. International craft beer brands can collaborate and set up bottling plants in India to retail now. Big commercial beer brands are also waiting, and will hop on the craft brewery segment in the next two-three years. Perhaps herein lies the opportunity for Praj, Krones, Alfa Laval and KHS.

Australian Wine Exports Continue To Grow in Value

With premiumisation on the rise value of exports is going up.
The total value of Australian wine exports increased by 5% to $2.78 billion in the 12 months to March 2019, with the average value per litre climbing to $3.41, the highest level since 2009. Wine Australia Chief Executive Officer Andreas Clark said that the continued growth in the value of exports was an extremely positive trend for the sector.

Mr Clark said that while the volume of exports had declined slightly by 3% to 814 million litres (90 million 9-litre case equivalents), the increasing value overall and on average was overwhelmingly positive. “What we are seeing is a drop in volumes in the lower value categories and this places Australia well as the global consumer premiumises and drinks less but more expensive wines,” Mr Clark said. In the China market we have grown our value again and we are outperforming competitors, with the Global Trade Atlas figures showing that in the year ended February 2019, Australia had a 29% share of the imported wine market – up from 26% a year ago

“We are also seeing positive trends in the USA off-trade market where sales of Australian wine grew 3% in value to US$521 million in the year ended December 2018. Even more encouraging is that Australian wine priced above US$15 per bottle has also grown by 3% according to market monitor IRI Worldwide.” Mr Clark said Australian wine supplies would remain tight in the short term with much of the 2018 vintage yet to hit the market and the expectation that 2019 vintage would be below the long-term average. In the year ended March 2019, there was robust growth in most price segments (see Figure 1) with exports in higher priced categories recording the most significant growth, reflecting global premiumisation trends. In the 12 months to March 2019, the value of wine exported in glass bottles increased 3% to $2.22 billion and decreased in volume 5% to 355 million litres (39 million 9-litre case equivalents). The combination of the increased value and lower volume means that the average value of bottled wine increased 9% to $6.24 per litre FOB, a near-record.

Other packaging formats include soft pack, which increased 12% in value to $15 million and 9 per cent in volume to 7.7 million litres, and other alternative packaging, which decreased by 2% in value to $6.2 million and 10% in volume to 964 thousand litres. Shipments of unpackaged wine increased in value by 11% to $541 million and decreased in volume by 2% to 450 million litres (50 9-litre case equivalents). The average value of unpackaged wine exports increased by 14% to $1.20 per litre FOB. Nearly all destinations imported more Australian wine in the year ended March 2019 than the previous period. North America is still the exception, with excellent growth in exports to Canada unable to outweigh the decline in exports to the United States of America (USA). The regions in growth are: • Northeast Asia, up 8% to $1.2 billion, • Europe, up 3% to $612 million, • Southeast Asia, up 7% to $170 million, • Oceania, up 15% to $107 million, and the Middle East, up 16% to $32 million.

Australian wine exports to China (including Hong Kong and Macau) increased by 7% in value to $1.11 billion and decreased by 14% in volume to 154 million litres (17 million 9-litre case equivalents) in the year ended March 2019.

The volume decline in the China market is confined almost exclusively to exports in the below $2.50 per litre value segment, reflecting both a tightening of Australian supply in this segment and also the increased supply availability from competitors such as Chile. There were 2603 active exporters in the period, a 16% increase from the previous year. During the year, 1786 companies either started exporting or increased the value of their exports, contributing $374 million to the growth in overall value. This growth was partially offset by 1328 exporters whose export value decreased or they ceased shipment altogether; their exports declined by $246 million.

Volume and value growth rates by exporter size illustrate largely positive performances (see Figure 3). While volume decreased by 4% for the largest exporters (those exporting more than 100,000 9-litre case equivalents), all other exporter segments showed healthy growth rates in both volume and value, with the smallest exporters exhibiting the strongest growth.

SHOR- Modern Indian Restaurant and Quarter Bar

Exactly opposite Santacruz police station is the two month old SHOR. It has a stylish ambience with rustic touches to make it warm and friendly and has a seating capacity of close to 45 people. The bar was well stocked with a wide range of cocktails and mocktails. Chota Bheem is their signature drink. Whisky, Kalakhatta, Chaat masala used in preparation of this drink.

For music there as the in-house system with a live DJ station and Karaoke after 10 P.m. This place has Bollywood nights every Thursday and also a Karaoke night once during the week. They do have valet parking service. Cheese and garlic naan bomb starter is a must try. Tiny naan discs served as starter with cheese and garlic stuffing had the right flavours. With dishes inspired from the western coast, the menu not only includes the names of the dishes, but also the place they are inspired from. Signatures include Khakhra from Gujarat, Tadka Hummus from South India, Amritsari Fish from Mangalore and Prawns Koliwada from Mumbai, find your tastebuds, taking a ride along the coast too. The grill section, includes the basics like, Cheese Seekh, Achari Aloo, Fish Tikka and Masala Prawns. The nouveau main course section has dishes like, Truffle Oil and Okra Khichadi, Chicken Gassi, and Goan Fish Curry and Rice. SHOR promises you endless stories and binging sessions over the course of its journey. With a menu that is carefully hand-picked and curated which is juxtaposed with music, this place is sure to win your heart.

Scotch Whisky makes strong Economic Impact

With the Brexit debate dominating British politics, the fate of Scotch, the money spinner for Scotland will be closely watched.

The Scotch Whisky industry is strategically important to the economies of Scotland and the United Kingdom. This report – building on work by the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) – explores Scotch Whisky’s direct contribution to GVA, international trade, employment, supply chain and revenue through excise duty. The contribution of the Scotch Whisky industry to the UK economy has grown by 10% since 2016 to £5.5bn.

A new report by the Scotch Whisky Association, building on research carried out by the Centre for Economic and Business Research (CEBR), also reveals Scotland’s national drink generates two-thirds of all spirits Gross Value Added (GVA) in the UK. The industry has been buoyed in recent years by record exports, reaching £4.7bn in 2018, and several new distilleries beginning production and opening their doors to tourists.

This success comes despite the industry continuing to pay the fourth highest duty rates in the EU, and one of the highest of spirit producing nations globally. Recent freezes to UK duty have helped the industry to reinforce its vital importance to the UK economy. Karen Betts, Chief Executive of the SWA, said:“This research shows the huge contribution that our industry plays to both the Scottish and UK economies.

“Significantly, the research shows that our industry’s GVA increased by 10% to £5.5bn between 2016 and 2018, as a result of Scotch Whisky companies’ continued export success and the industry’s consistent investment – over £500 million in the last 5 years – in production, distribution, marketing and tourism.

“Despite the challenges of Brexit, this is investment that continues to flow, with more projects planned and more distilleries set to open – a sign that the Scotch Whisky industry remains confident about the future. This is great news for our many employees, our investors, supply chain and, of course, for our consumers all over the world, who love Scotch. “This report also highlights the high rate of domestic tax that Scotch Whisky faces in the UK. In the US, Scotch and other whiskies are taxed at just 27% of the rate that HM Treasury taxes us here at home. We will continue to press the Chancellor for fairer treatment of Scotch Whisky in our domestic market, which reflects the vital economic contribution the thousands of people who work in whisky make to the UK economy every day.”

Scotch Whisky provides £3.8bn in direct in GVA to Scotland – helped by regulations in place that requires all Scotch Whisky to be distilled and matured for at least three years in Scotland. This means Scotch Whisky contributes more than double than life sciences (£1.5bn) to the Scottish economy, supporting more than 42,000 jobs across the UK, including 10,500 people directly in Scotland, and 7,000 in rural communities.

The sector was found to perform a crucial role in driving productivity across Scotland. The manufacturer of beverages in Scotland – dominated by Scotch – produces £210,505 GVA per employee. Comparatively, the industry is more productive than the energy sector (including renewables) at £173,511 per head, life sciences at £93,735 per head, and creative industries at £60,712 per head.

Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury Robert Jenrick MP said: “I’m delighted to see how this important sector is thriving. “We are supporting the Scotch whisky success story by freezing duty on spirits again this year. “Our record of reductions and freezes to alcohol duties have provided more than £4bn of support to the drinks sector here in the UK.” Rural Economy Secretary Fergus Ewing MSP said: “I welcome the contribution that the Scotch Whisky industry makes to the Scottish Economy. “The industry’s performance is testament to the hard work of those who work in this important sector, making Scotch Whisky one of Scotland’s greatest global exports.”

France’s buoyant US Spirits Business Tops 200 Million Bottles

France has been known for its luxury spirits brands and the US is one of the biggest markets in the world for premium spirits. Naturally French exports are directed to this market.

French spirits exports to the US have doubled in ten years and now account for more than 200 million bottles a year, says Christophe Macra MW, spirits expert and one of France’s Masters of Wine.

He said that interest in spirits was growing worldwide due to better distillation quality, innovation and new spirit-producing regions entering the market. Spirits consumption would continue to grow in both economically prosperous and developing regions.

At a spirits Master Class and review of market trends at Vinexpo 2019, Macra traced four trends in spirits development. He also predicted which five spirits categories would dominate global spirits in five years time. M Macra illustrated his review of international trends with a tasting of Calvados Armagnac, Gin and a Gentian aperitif and cocktail ingredient from France, Vodka from Ireland, Mezcal from Mexico, Whiskies from Sweden and Taiwan. The diversity of spirits and their origins showed that “The world wants spirits and people want to drink them”. A growing spirits distribution sector worldwide – especially in France where there were now between 20 and 30 national distributors compared with three or so 29 years ago – was further evidence of trade and consumer demand. Trends pushing spirits expansion are: revivals of traditional spirits such as Calvados and Armagnac where there was growing interest in Asia; rediscovery of locally-produced spirits, eg Irish Whisky, Gin and Vodka; global interest in little-known spirits such as Mezcal; new exotic spirits such as agricultural rum from Tahiti, “where no spirits at all were made 10 years ago”.

Similarly, in Sweden 12 whisky distillers operate using locally grown malt and wood casks. Taiwanese whisky was now a huge market characterised by accelerated maturation in a warm climate and excellent cask selection. M. Macra was asked to forecast the five spirits likely to dominate world growth in the next three to five years. He nominated: World Whisky – “still very strong and growing”; Rum – “mostly spirit made from molasses, but a growing contribution from rhum agricole; Brandy – “high quality brandies of all kinds”; Tequila and Mezcal – “growing interest worldwide” and Local craft spirits – “small distillers of high quality –hence the trend to ‘drink local’”

The Way Forward For India And The Alcobev Industry

While captains of industry welcome the new government and are hopeful of industry friendly policies, they are also looking at sustainable growth for the future. The alcobev industry has sputtered along in spurts and jerks. With a new government in place, the industry is hopeful of new impetus for growth.
“A stable government is indeed welcome for the nation and economy. We hope that the new government will reinforce its progressive policies towards the industry, and usher in the next phase of reforms to promote ease of doing business and ‘Making in India’. We also look towards the Federal government to encourage states to urgently bring comprehensive regulatory reform into key state- GDP contributing sectors such as alcoholic beverages,” says, Anand Kripalu, Managing Director and CEO, Diageo India.
The beer industry has its fair share of challenges. And with the competition heating up and input prices rising it is becoming difficult to invest in growth. “With a strong mandate that the government has received, we look forward to sustained reforms that will spur further growth in the economy. We also look forward to continued emphasis on ease of doing business,” says Shekhar Ramamurthy, Managing Director, United Breweries Ltd.
ABD in its new avatar, has discovered growth in volumes and is now translating it in to value by creating millionaire brands of its premium brands. The elections and the policies will be closely watched. Will Bihar lift prohibition under the new government? That is perhaps the question on the lips of all marketers.
“It is indeed a blessing that India has elected a strong and stable Goverment and I look forward to more structural reforms so that India can continue on a strong growth trajectory with gainful employment for all its citizens. I also expect the federal goverment to build consensus amongst all states to include potable alcohol in GST,” said Deepak Roy, ABD Vice Chairman.
Plagued by high taxes, both Central and State, the Indian alcobev industry is struggling to find the way forward. Some years ago it was the number game and companies like USL managed to cross the 100 million cases mark and brands like Officer’s Choice crossed the 30 million cases mark. But those numbers did not translate into profits and only companies like Pernod Ricard consistently remained in the black. But now companies are scaling down their volumes where the margins are thinner, introducing premium brands and focussing on profits. Diageo is working to get consumers to ‘premiumise’. The company is working to taking a long term view and creating business value. The history associated with Diageo’s iconic brands, too, bears testimony to such far-sightedness.

However, despite all the challenges in the Indian alcobev industry, Radico has managed to do well, particularly after the opening of the UP market. They have also successfully launched 8 PM Premium Black followed by a big media blitz. Even Magic Moments is maintaining its leadership position backed by heavy advertising on TV channels.
While congratulating on the grand come back of PM Narendra Modi, Dr. Lalit Khaitan, Chairman of Radico Khaitan Ltd. says, “The voters have endorsed Modi’s decisive leadership, his ability to take the country from red tape to red carpet, his government’s multiple schemes to pull out millions from abject poverty and provide them essential services like electricity, cooking gas, bank accounts and free health services.”
Whereas down South KALS Group has been growing very fast particularly after acquiring Imperial and introducing more products like Sparta and so on. It is aspiring to expand to other markets beyond South and has chalked out long term plans.
KALS CMD Mr.S Vasudevan says on the historic victory of the NDA government, “I wish our Honourable Prime Minister Mr. Modi for his impeccable victory. This is a well-deserved victory for transforming our nation in terms of controls, governance, and GDP growth. I personally look forward to having reforms in the IMFL Industry as well that contributes significant revenue to the respective states. I wish the new government all the very best and I’m confident under the leadership of our Honourable PM, India will get into the strides of excellence.”
In India Diageo is taking a long term view well emphasised by the purchase of USL for over US$ 3 billion which could create tremendous opportunities for the next 20 to 30 years.

USL added about 5,000 employees to Diageo’s global workforce, and it wasn’t just about gaining access to a strategically important market. The company’s Indian talent pool and its investments in IT and service centres in India serve not just the Indian market, but the group globally. And having overcome the legacy issues associated with the USL acquisition, Diageo claims to have set itself the ambitious target of “changing the alcohol industry in India”. Much of that effort revolves around a campaign to inculcate the spirit of ‘responsible drinking’, which translates into reinforcing moderation, and in promoting road safety in collaboration with State governments.

And the way Diageo hopes to make the transformation in India is to “premiumise” the business by inducing consumers not to “drink more”, but to “drink better”, by moving to up-scale brands. That has also seen it franchise out some of the lower-end brands it acquired along with USL, and renovate its brands.

Companies like Pernod Ricard has had a sound strategy in place as well. Not only most of its brands are millionaire brands but they enjoy good margins and the company has consistently delivered profits over the years.


But the company too has suffered from disruptions and would like more business friendly policies. Says Guillaume Girard-Reydet, Managing Director, Pernod Ricard India, “The people of India have exhibited with full clarity, their confidence in stability and progress in current reforms. I encourage this government to continue the momentum on reforms in the economy, to increase ease of doing business and comprehensive regulations enabling best growth for India.”
Pernod Ricard launched recently its 2030 ‘Sustainability & Responsibility’ roadmap as part of the Group’s strategic plan to ‘Transform & Accelerate’. This roadmap sets out 8 ambitious and concrete 2030 targets supporting the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) which was unveiled at the Martell Cognac distillery in France. The Group is taking bold next steps in addressing both environmental topics, to preserve the terroirs its products come from, and social responsibility, in particular by accelerating the fight against alcohol misuse.

Scotch Whisky Association is also looking at a long term boost to its business value. It has drawn up plans till 2050.

Mumbaikars appear to be more discerning about their alcohol now than they were seven years ago. Consumption of hard, and, at times, spurious, country liquor has barely increased, but the tribe of wine-drinkers has risen by over 67% in the seven-year period.

Consumption of country liquor (CL) increased only 5.7% in this period, prompting experts to say that people with lower income who opt for it have controlled their drinking habit. However, those preferring the costlier IMFLs have increased by almost 30%, show the seven-year data. The consumption of the ‘safe’ option – beer – has only increased by 6% in this period. Beer and wine have less chemical spirit (up to 17%) content than IMFL and CL (which have up to 44%).
“People go for IMFL and CL or may be a mix for a better and quicker kick. But since the chemical spirit is higher in both of them, there are chances of them adversely affecting a patron’s health. It’s hence a worrying sign that Mumbaikars are increasingly drinking more IMFL than beer,” said an expert who works for the de-addiction campaign.
Excise duty on beer has made prices similar to that of IMFL. This, experts say, comes as a major discouragement for those who want to switch over to liquors with lesser pure spirits. On the contrary, countries in the West and a few in Asia like China encourage beer to ensure minimal damage to the health of regular drinkers, by offering cheaper pricing.

Between 2010 and 2017, alcohol consumption in India increased by 38% from 4.3 to 5.9 litre per adult per year, said the researchers. In the same time, consumption in the US (9.3-9.8 litres) and in China (7.1-7.4 litres) increased marginally.

Flavours of Punjab only at Four Points by Sheraton, Navi Mumbai

Tucked away close to Vashi station is Asian Kitchen at Four Points by Sheraton. The place for all kinds of food. The ambience gives you a feeling of space which is laced with some live music. For cricket lovers the TV screens show the IPL matches.

India is a country of diverse cultural heritage and as Indians, we love to savour this diversity indistinct with mouth-watering cuisines from all parts of the country.

One such popular and delectable cuisine hails from the joyful state of Punjab, commonly referred to as “North-Indian food”. This Vaisakhi, the vibrant flavors from Punjab were on display at the Asian Kitchen at Four Points by Sheraton. With their irresistible buffet menu serving a great variety of vegetarian and non-vegetarian treats like Murgh Dhaniya ka Shorba, Sarson da saag Makki de roti gud Makhan, Dudiya Paneer Tikka, Rara Gosht, Subz Pulao and an extensive salad bar, dessert as well as beverage list, experience the magic of authentic Punjabi cordon bleu unfold in your fingers.

The festival was open from 15th- 28th April 2019 from 7.30 pm to 11.30. Patrons could enjoy both Buffet and A la Carte. Prices were Rs.1450 + taxes per person.

Worldwide Alcohol Consumption Declines -1.6%

IWSR 2018 Global Beverage Alcohol Data Shows Growth in Spirits, but Beer and Wine Volume is Down; Market Expected to Grow by 3% Over Next 5 Years

Beverage alcohol drinkers across the globe consumed a total of 27.6bn nine-litre cases of alcohol in 2018, but while that number represents a decrease of -1.6% from the year prior, new data from the IWSR forecasts that total alcohol consumption will steadily increase over the next five years, to 28.5bn cases in 2023.

In terms of retail value, the global market for beverage alcohol in 2018 was just over $1tn, a number which the IWSR expects to grow 7% by 2023 as consumers continue to trade up to higher-quality products.

These figures – and more than 1.5m other points of data – are included in the just-released IWSR Drinks Market Analysis Global Database, which also shows:

Gin was the Leading Global Growth Category in 2018, and Forecasted to Reach 88m Cases by 2023

The largest gain in global beverage alcohol consumption in 2018 was in the gin category, which posted total growth of 8.3% versus 2017. Pink gin was a key growth driver, helping the category sell more than 72m nine-litre cases globally last year. In the UK alone, gin was up 32.5% in 2018, and the Philippines (the world’s largest gin market) posted growth of 8%, fueled by a booming cocktail scene and premiumisation of the market. By 2023, the gin category is expected to reach 88.4m cases globally, with particular strong growth in key markets such as the UK, Philippines, South Africa, Brazil, Uganda, Germany, Australia, Italy, Canada and France. Notably, Brazil has emerged as a new hotspot for the category, with volumes there more than doubling last year and forecasted to grow at 27.5% CAGR 2018-2023, as the gin-and-tonic trend has increased in upmarket bars of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro.

Consumption of Whisky and Agave-Based Spirits Continues to Increase

Spurred by innovation in whisky cocktails and highballs, the global whisky category increased by 7% last year, driven in large part by a strong Indian economy (whisky grew by 10.5% in India, as consumers continue to trade up in the category). The US and Japan posted 5% and 8% growth, respectively. The IWSR forecasts whisky to grow by 5.7% CAGR from 2018 to 2023, to almost 581m nine-litre cases. Also, continued interest in tequila and mezcal (especially in the US), and innovation in more premium variants and cocktails, drove the agave-based spirits category to 5.5% global growth in 2018 – and is expected to post 4% growth over the next five years (2018-2023 CAGR).

Mixed Drinks and Cider Grow

The mixed drinks category (which includes premixed cocktails, long drinks, and flavoured alcoholic beverages) grew 5% globally in 2018. By 2023, it is projected that more than 597m nine-litre cases of mixed drinks will be consumed across the world. The growth is backed by continued strong gains in ready-to-drink (RTD) cans in the US and Japan, the category’s two largest markets. In Japan, most RTDs are locally made and almost exclusive to Japan. Their popularity is partly due to the fact that they are relatively dry, which makes them more food-friendly and sessionable. In the US, the popularity of alcohol seltzers has been a tremendous engine for growth in the RTD market. In the cider category, as investment levels in those products continue to rise, almost 270m cases are expected by 2023, a 2.0% CAGR 2018-2023. Both of those categories (mixed drinks and cider) are taking share from beer as perceived accessibility increases (less bitter, easier to drink.)

Vodka, Liqueurs, and Cane Spirits are in Decline

Vodka lost volume in 2018 (-2.6%) as the market for lower-priced brands continued its decline in Russia and the Ukraine (two of the largest markets for this spirit). Higher-priced vodkas, however, showed a more positive trend last year. Nonetheless, the outlook for total vodka over the next five years remains sluggish as the category is forecasted at -1.7% CAGR 2018-2023. Also in decline is the flavoured spirits category (liqueurs), which dropped by -1.5% globally in 2018, and is expected to continue to slip in 2019 before rebounding slightly in 2020. Cane spirits (primarily Brazilian cachaça) was down -1.6% last year, and is forecasted to lose another 4.5m cases by 2023.

Beer Continued to Lose Volume in 2018, but is Expected to Rebound

Global beer declined -2.2% in 2018, impacted greatly from volume decreases in China (-13%). Other large markets such as the US and Brazil also fell (-1.6% and -2.3%, respectively), while Mexico and Germany saw growth (6.6% and 1%, respectively). The future outlook for beer, however, paints a more positive picture, as the category is expected to show a slight increase in 2019 and post a 0.7% CAGR 2018-2023.

Wine Volume Declines, but Value Increases

Wine, which had posted strong global growth in 2017, lost -1.6% in volume in 2018 as wine consumption declined in major markets such as China, Italy, France, Germany and Spain (the US market was flat). However, though consumers are drinking less wine, they’re increasingly drinking better – pushing wine value to increase. Globally, the retail value of wine is projected at $224.5bn by 2023, up from $215.8bn in 2018. The one bright spot in wine volume is the sparkling wine category, which is expected to show a five-year CAGR of 1.17% 2018-2023, driven in large part by prosecco.

Low- and No-Alcohol Products on the Rise

Low- and no-alcohol brands are showing significant growth in key markets as consumers increasingly seek better-for-you products, and explore ways to reduce their alcohol intake. Growth of no-alcohol beer is expected at 8.8%, and low-alcohol beer at 2.8%. No-alcohol still wine is forecasted at 13.5%, and low-alcohol still wine at 5.6%. Growth of no-alcohol mixed drinks is predicted at 8.6%. (Above figures are all CAGR 2018-2023.)

Top Ten Performing Global Markets, 2018-2023

A look at the world’s fastest-growing beverage alcohol markets shows an emergence across a variety of developing countries. A combination of growing legal-drinking-age populations and healthy economies is driving some of this growth, which is expected to continue over the next five years.


“Every year our analysts spend months traveling the world to speak with suppliers, wholesalers, retailers, and other beverage alcohol professionals to assess what is happening market by market in this fast-changing business,” says Mark Meek, the IWSR’s CEO. “The raw data we collect is enormously valuable, but equally important is what that data tells us in terms of trends, challenges, and opportunities facing the industry.”